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Thursday's drop ended the longest winning streaks in two years for the S&P 500 (.SPX) and the Nasdaq. The S&P 500 posted its highest closing level since Sept 19. REUTERS/Brendan McDermid Acquire Licensing RightsAll 11 S&P 500 sectors ended in positive territory, led by a 2.6% gain for the technology sector (.SPLRCT). For the week, the Dow rose about 0.7%, the S&P 500 gained 1.3% and the Nasdaq climbed 2.4%. Data on Friday showed U.S. consumer sentiment fell for a fourth straight month in November, and households' expectations for inflation rose again.
Persons: Illumina, Jerome Powell, , Chuck Carlson, Rick Meckler, Brendan McDermid, ” Meckler, Lewis Krauskopf, Amruta, Maju Samuel, David Gregorio Our Organizations: Nasdaq, CPI, Dow, Federal, Investors, Treasury, Horizon Investment, Cherry Lane Investments, Dow Jones, Traders, New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Nvidia, Meta, Microsoft, NYSE, Thomson Locations: Hammond , Indiana, New Vernon , New Jersey, New York City, U.S, New York
Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., September 11, 2023. Investors are grappling with the rise in benchmark Treasury yields to 16-year highs after the Fed gave a hawkish longer-term rate outlook. The S&P 500 last week posted its biggest weekly drop since March. According to preliminary data, the S&P 500 (.SPX) gained 17.92 points, or 0.41%, to end at 4,337.98 points, while the Nasdaq Composite (.IXIC) gained 59.86 points, or 0.45%, to 13,271.66. Among S&P 500 sectors, energy (.SPNY) led the way.
Persons: Brendan McDermid, Chuck Carlson, Angelo Kourkafas, Edward Jones, Jerome Powell, Austan Goolsbee, Lewis Krauskopf, Ankika Biswas, Shashwat Chauhan, Arun Koyyur, Maju Samuel, Richard Chang Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Anthropic Energy, Amazon.com, Federal Reserve, Fed, Horizon Investment, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Investors, Chicago Fed, CNBC, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, New York, Bengaluru
The S&P 500 and the Nasdaq reversed their weekly advances, while the blue-chip Dow ended the week nominally higher. European stocks closed higher, extending a rally sparked by the European Bank signaling an end to its rate-hiking cycle, and logging a weekly gain. The pan-European STOXX 600 index (.STOXX) rose 0.23% and MSCI's gauge of stocks across the globe (.MIWD00000PUS) shed 0.63%. Emerging market stocks rose 0.33%. MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan (.MIAPJ0000PUS) closed 0.58% higher, while Japan's Nikkei (.N225) rose 1.10%.
Persons: Brendan McDermid, Dow, TW, Chuck Carlson, Robert Pavlik, Sterling, Brent, Stephen Culp, Naomi Rovnick, Kevin Buckland, Nick Zieminski, Diane Craft, Deepa Babington Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Treasury, Nasdaq, Semiconductor, SOX, Reuters, University of Michigan, Federal Reserve, Horizon Investment, Financial, Dakota Wealth, Dow Jones, Bank, Japan's Nikkei, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, Philadelphia, Hammond , Indiana, Fairfield , Connecticut, Asia, Pacific, Japan, London, Tokyo
Yet many funds hold less of the stock in their portfolios compared with Nvidia's weight in key equity indexes, making it tougher for them to beat their benchmarks. Among those funds that held a below-average weight in Nvidia, 85% underperformed the index so far this year, Morningstar's data showed. Nvidia's valuation has been a primary reason keeping some investors away, while others are wary of buying in after the stock’s mammoth 230% run this year. Nvidia shares marked a record high closing price on Tuesday, in the wake of a strong earnings report last week. "The stock has had an amazing rally, but it would be totally normal for it to correct 20-25%."
Persons: Robert Galbraith, Refinitiv, , Chuck Carlson, Dow, Goldman Sachs, Goldman, Morgan Stanley, Robby Greengold, Jeremy Schwartz, Schwartz, Michael Purves, Purves, ” Purves, Lewis Krauskopf, Ira Iosebashvili, Matthew Lewis Organizations: Nvidia, REUTERS, Nasdaq, Horizon Investment Services, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Big, Microsoft, Dow Jones, Apple, U.S, Mutual, Morningstar, Tallbacken Capital Advisors, Thomson Locations: Santa Clara , California, Big Tech, New York
[1/2] Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., July 19, 2023. The pan-European STOXX 600 index (.STOXX) rose 0.89% and MSCI's gauge of stocks across the globe (.MIWD00000PUS) gained 0.60%. Emerging market stocks rose 0.65%. U.S. crude rose 0.34% to settle at $80.10 per barrel, while Brent settled at $84.42, down 0.07% on the day. Gold gained ground as investors continue to digest Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's Jackson Hole commentary last week and looked forward to the week's economic data.
Persons: Brendan McDermid, Chuck Carlson, Carlson, Jerome Powell, China's, Brent, Sterling, Jerome Powell's Jackson, Stephen Culp, Neil Mackenzie, Amanda Cooper, Alex Richardson, Diane Craft Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, payrolls, PMI, Federal Reserve, Horizon Investment, Beijing, Labor, Commerce, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Japan's Nikkei, Gulf, U.S . Treasury, Fed, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, Hammond , Indiana, Jackson Hole , Wyoming, China, Asia, Pacific, Japan, London
REUTERS/Robert Galbraith/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsNEW YORK, Aug 23 (Reuters) - Bullish investors are hoping Wednesday's earnings report from chip heavyweight Nvidia (NVDA.O) can rejuvenate a U.S. stocks rally that has stumbled in recent weeks. The market's turbulence is intensifying focus on Nvidia's fiscal second quarter report, due after market close on Wednesday. Following that report, the S&P 500 technology sector (.SPLRCT) rallied 8% over the next five days. Signs that the central bank intends to hold rates around current levels for longer than investors had anticipated could further weigh on stocks. In a Monday note, Goldman analysts said an equal-weighted basket of those 11 stocks had returned 69% so far in 2023, outpacing a 7% gain for the overall equal-weight S&P 500.
Persons: Robert Galbraith, Anthony Saglimbene, Chuck Carlson, Jerome Powell, Goldman Sachs, Goldman, Lewis Krauskopf, Saqib Iqbal Ahmed, Ira Iosebashvili, Matthew Lewis Organizations: Nvidia, REUTERS, Apple, Microsoft, Big Tech, Ameriprise, Reuters, Societe Generale, Horizon Investment Services, Nasdaq, Federal, NVDA, Goldman, Thomson Locations: Santa Clara , California, U.S, Jackson Hole , Wyoming, outpacing, New York
"Further strength might beget further strength because of the FOMO factor," he added, using the popular acronym for "fear of missing out." "Inflation has clearly subsided, and yet labor market strength has remained intact," wrote BMO Capital Markets chief investment strategist Brian Belski in a recent note. “Moving past the debt ceiling and at least having some economic data that looks ok is actually enough to get some people interested,” said Keith Lerner, co-chief investment officer at Truist Advisory Services. Lerner on Monday shifted his expected S&P 500 range for this year up to 3,800-4,500, from 3,400-4,300 previously, citing improving earnings trends among other factors. For Hans Olsen, chief investment officer at Fiduciary Trust Co, that’s an ominous sign.
Persons: Cash, Chuck Carlson, Brian Belski, BofA, , Keith Lerner, Lerner, Monday, John Lynch, Hans Olsen, Olsen, Lewis Krauskopf, Ira Iosebashvili, Diane Craft Organizations: YORK, BofA Global, Deutsche Bank, Horizon Investment Services, BMO Capital Markets, ” BMO, Reuters Graphics, ISI, Advisory, Comerica Wealth Management, Microsoft, Nvidia, Reuters, Thomson
Though stocks remain near their 2023 highs, some investors now believe those factors will soon start taking a greater toll, limiting further upside. The market may be "back in the soup on the banking crisis," said Chuck Carlson, chief executive officer at Horizon Investment Services. Many investors don’t expect that calm to continue, as a battle over raising the $34 trillion U.S. debt ceiling looms. In the six rate-hiking cycles since 1984, the S&P 500 has posted an average three-month return of 8% following the peak funds rate, Goldman Sachs strategists wrote. However, the S&P 500 is already trading well above its valuation at the end of any cycle except the one ending in 2000, when the S&P 500 declined despite a Fed pause, the bank said.
NEW YORK, March 13 (Reuters) - A market rocked by a banking crisis faces a potential one-two punch as investors await a U.S. inflation report that could further complicate views on the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy trajectory. It has taken on added relevance in recent days, however, following concerns over financial stability after the swift collapse of Silicon Valley Bank (SIVB.O), the biggest bank failure since the financial crisis, and Signature Bank (SBNY.O). CPI for February is expected to rise 0.4% on a month-over-month basis, and 6% annually, according to a Reuters poll of economists. "That might lead to a partial reversal of the recent rally in bonds, worsening the problems in the banking sector," Capital Economics said in a note. Reporting by Lewis Krauskopf; Editing by Ira Iosebashvili and Jonathan OatisOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
[1/4] Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., February 27, 2023. All three major U.S. stock indexes were modestly higher, although well off session highs, Treasury yields reversed an earlier dip and the dollar pared its losses in afternoon trading. Emerging market stocks rose 0.57%. Benchmark U.S. Treasury yields were last nominally higher on the day, bouncing back from initial decline. The dollar lost ground against a basket of world currencies ahead of Powell's testimony and the jobs data.
Nolte is considering buying home-improvement retailer stocks that were hit hard in 2022 as the housing market struggled. Other companies set to report next week include chip company Nvidia (NVDA.O), COVID-19 vaccine maker Moderna (MRNA.O) and e-commerce firm eBay (EBAY.O). Both companies are set to report on Tuesday and will "set the stage for everyone else," according to JPMorgan retail analysts. Reuters GraphicsAmong the other retailers set to report in the coming week are TJX Companies (TJX.N) and Bath & Body Works (BBWI.N). "We are clearly emphasizing retailers in select industries versus the mass market retailers," Tuz said.
Fourth-quarter earnings season has shifted into overdrive, with 95 of the companies in the S&P 500 having reported. Analysts now see aggregate S&P 500 earnings dropping 3.0% year-on-year, nearly double the 1.6% drop seen on Jan. 1, per Refinitiv. Five of the 11 major sectors of the S&P 500 ended lower, with utilities (.SPLRCU) suffering the largest percentage loss. General Dynamics Corp (GD.N) beat quarterly expectations, but a weak 2023 forecast helped send the defense contractor's shares sliding 3.6%. The S&P 500 posted 8 new 52-week highs and 1 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 61 new highs and 30 new lows.
"The issue is how much has the market already discounted a recession, and that’s where it gets a little bit thornier." Concerns that the Fed will maintain its hawkish stance helped drive the S&P 500 down 1.45% on Thursday. The S&P 500 marked a 2022 closing low of 3,577.03 in October, just over 6% below its current level. Yet earnings fall by an average annual rate of 24% during recessions, according to Clissold, leaving plenty of downside for profits if a slowdown hits. Bear markets on average have bottomed four months before the end of a recession, according to Clissold, of Ned Davis.
Powell says rate hike moderation may come by December
  + stars: | 2022-11-30 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +3 min
Curing inflation "will require holding policy at a restrictive level for some time," he said. read moreUS stocks turned sharply higher on his comments, while Treasury yields fell back and the dollar turned lower. More than that, I think (investors) are starting to get a little more comfortable with investing at rates at this level... Investors have gotten to the point now where they are looking to come back into the market. SAMEER SAMANA, SENIOR GLOBAL MARKET STRATEGIST, WELLS FARGO INVESTMENT INSTITUTE, CHARLOTTE, NC"The market is taking this glass-half-full, it could've been worse approach. The balance sheet is almost as important if not more important than the level of rates."
Shares of Target Corp (TGT.N) tumbled 13.1% after the big-box retailer forecast a surprise drop in holiday-quarter sales. The S&P 500 consumer discretionary sector (.SPLRCD) shed 1.5%. The S&P 500 information technology sector (.SPLRCT) fell 1.4% and the Philadelphia SE Semiconductor index (.SOX) sank 4.3%. Elsewhere in retail, shares of Lowe's (LOW.N) rose 3% after the home improvement company raised its annual profit forecast. The S&P 500 posted 3 new 52-week highs and 2 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 71 new highs and 133 new lows.
Wall St rises as data hints at Fed policy progress
  + stars: | 2022-10-24 | by ( Stephen Culp | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +4 min
All three major U.S. stock indexes were higher at the top of a week jam-packed with high profile corporate earnings and crucial economic data. Among the 11 major sectors in the S&P 500, healthcare (.SPXHC) was enjoying the largest percentage gain. So far, nearly one-fifth of the companies in the S&P 500 have reported. Analysts expect S&P 500 earnings growth of 3.0%, on aggregate, down from 4.5% at the beginning of the month, per Refinitiv. The S&P 500 posted 21 new 52-week highs and 4 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 58 new highs and 297 new lows.
Top stocks' market value as percentage of S&P 500The S&P 500 is up nearly 5% from its Oct 12 closing low for the year after posting its biggest weekly gain since late June. Even with stocks' latest rebound, the index has dropped 21% so far in 2022, on track for its biggest decline since 2008. Yields continued to rise this week, with the yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note hitting a fresh 14-year high. All four stocks command higher valuations than the S&P 500, which trades at nearly 16 times forward earnings estimates. The P/Es for Apple and Microsoft are both about 22 times, Alphabet trades at 17.5 times, while Amazon sits at 60 times, according to Refinitiv Datastream.
Despite the upside move, "this sort of volatility makes markets feel a lot less rational and undermines confidence,” said Michael Farr, CEO of Farr, Miller and Washington LLC. Reuters GraphicsIndeed, despite the S&P 500’s wild ride on Thursday, the most recent inflation data does little to help the case for battered stock market bulls. The International Monetary Fund earlier this week flagging the risks of “disorderly asset repricings” as global central banks tighten monetary policy. Still, some investors have been looking past the short-term gloom, citing discounted valuations on U.S. stocks as one reason for cautious optimism. The market's focus will next turn to a pivotal third-quarter corporate earnings season to help support stock prices.
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